Election Predictions

Here are my predictions based on the final polls.  Considering how much has changed this election from last, I expect to get a whole whack of ridings wrong, but my overall prediction is pretty much in line with others so here we go.

Atlantic Canada

Tories pick up Avalon and Madawaska-Restigouche, while lose South-Shore-St. Margaret's to the NDP.  The NDP also pick up St. John's South-Mount Pearl from the Liberals.

Liberals: 14 seats
Conservatives: 12 seats
NDP: 6 seats

Quebec

Due to rapid changes here, I will just give a general prediction not a riding by riding one.

NDP: 40 seats
Bloc Quebecois: 20 seats
Liberals: 8 seats
Conservatives: 5 seats
Independent: 1 seat (Andre Arthur)

Ontario

The Conservatives pick up Eglinton-Lawrence, Don Valley West, York Centre, Ajax-Pickering, hold Vaughan, regain Simcoe-Grey, pick up Brampton-Springdale, Brampton West, Mississauga South, Guelph, and Kingston & the Islands. 

The NDP picks up Oshawa from the Conservatives, Parkdale-High Park, Beaches-East York, and Davenport from the Liberals.

Conservatives: 60 seats
Liberals: 25 seats
NDP: 22 seats

Manitoba

Winnipeg North flips back to the NDP, no other change from last election

Conservatives: 9 seats
NDP: 4 seats
Liberals: 1 seat

Saskatchewan

NDP picks up Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar, no other changes

Conservatives: 12 seats
NDP: 1 seat
Liberals: 1 seat

Alberta

Status quo

Conservatives: 27 seats
NDP: 1 seat

British Columbia

NDP picks up Surrey North and Vancouver Island North from the Conservatives and Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca from the Liberals

Conservatives: 20 seats
NDP: 12 seats
Liberals: 4 seats

North

Status quo, so one for each of the federalist parties

TOTALS

Conservatives: 146 seats
NDP: 87 seats
Liberals: 54 seats
Bloc Quebecois: 20 seats
Independent: 1 seat (Andre Arthur)